Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Poverty estimates in India


We (I alongwith my co-author, Prof. Srijit Mishra) worked on the poverty estimates for India. This article is published in Poverty and Public Policy and provides estimates of poverty and inequality across states as well as for different subgroups of the population for 2004–2005 by using the old and new methods of the Planning Commission. The new method is critically evaluated with the help of some existing literature, and its limitations are discussed with regard to doing away with calorie norm, use of median expenditure as a norm for education when the distribution is positively skewed, difficulty in reproducing results for earlier rounds acting as a constraint on comparisons, and using urban poverty ratio of the old method as a starting point to decide a consumption basket. More importantly, it discusses the implications on financial transfers across states if the share of poor is only taken into account without accounting for an increase in the total number of poor. Despite these limitations, on grounds of parsimony and prudence, the state-specific poverty lines suggested in the new method, as also in the old method, are used to discuss implications on poverty for different subgroups of the population (i.e., NSS regions, social groups, and occupation groups). It also raises concerns on reducing a complex social phenomenon such as poverty to a narrow set of parameters and also its implications on policymaking.
Following are some figures from the same paper:




Find it here: Poverty Estimates in India 

Poverty in India and it's Decompositions: A Critical Appraisal of the New Method


This work was motivates by the report on new poverty lines submitted by the Tendulkar committee.
The Planning Commission recently released poverty estimates across states for rural and urban areas of India for 2009–10 (GoI 2012). A matter of concern raised in the media is low poverty lines leading to a social experiment of living by spending 32 rupees only per day by young persons. There have been discussions in the academia also. This has revived the need to critically evaluate the Report of the Expert Group to Review the Methodology for Estimation of Poverty (GoI 2009). The purpose of this chapter is two-fold. First, we raise some issues with regard to the new method, which also borrows from existing literature, including some earlier work of ours (Pathak and Mishra 2011; also see Mishra 2012).
Second, we use the poverty lines provided by the Planning Commission for rural and urban areas separately to compute the incidence, depth, and severity of poverty and inequality
at the aggregate all-India level as also across states, social groups, religious groups, occupational groups, educationwise, and gender-wise. We also analyse poverty reduction
between 2004–5 and 2009–10 at the aggregate all-India level as also for some sub-groups of the population by looking into sectoral and growth-inequality decompositions. The
differential impact of the growth process between these two time points on poorer and richer sections of society is also visualized through growth incidence curves for rural
and urban India.
The complete paper can be accessed in the Human Development Report, 2012-13, published by the Oxford University Press, India.
Find it here: Poverty in India and Its Decompositions: A Critical Appraisal of the New Method